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British Pound Outlook Disconcerted on Trends

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    Last Updated: August 22nd, 2009

    The British Pound is likely to look past much of the economic calendar to fall in with trends in risk sense as the primary driver of directional s shine again in the week ahead. A trade weighted average of sterling’s value is now 88.1% connectioned  with the MSCI World Stock Index and 90.3% correlated with the Bloomberg/UBS CMCI Commodity Price Index, suggesting the currency trades largely in tandem with the broad direction of risky assets. Judging the near-term direction of risk sense has been a tricky endeavor in lately weeks: an ascending  number of voices have started to qualify the rally that began in March as “overdone” given the fragile economic environment, but the bears are clearly still too poor  to form a dominant enough majority to meaningfully overtake momentum.

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